Portfolio Bet Systems 

INDIVIDUAL SYSTEM DETAILED ASSESSMENT:

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BACK SYSTEM T1

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• Low odds backing (Top 2 market, 60 MTP).

• High jockey performance (79%+), strong B2L ROI (33%+).

• Recent form (1-64 days since last run).

• Profitable hours (13:00-17:00), races 2-6.

• Expected annual profit: +24 points (Current +35).

• High strike rate: 56%.

• Low drawdown: -14 points (Past year -5).

• Caveat: Smaller profits per win, periods of break-even performance.​​​​​

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This low-odds backing system concentrates on the top 2 horses in the betting market 60 minutes prior to post (MTP).

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The system's filters are stringent, only considering horses where the jockey boasts a performance rating of 79% or higher and exhibits a 1-year back-to-lay return on investment (ROI) exceeding 33%.

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The selected runner must have raced within the past 1 to 64 days. Analysis of historical data indicates that betting within the hours of 13:00 to 17:00 and on races numbered 2 to 6 has proven most profitable for this system.

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This is a straightforward back bet utilizing a consistent stake per wager. Based on current performance, the system anticipates an annual return of +24 points while maintaining a current strike rate of 56%.

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Over the preceding twelve months, the recorded profit stands at +35 points, surpassing the projected annual average.

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The total recorded drawdown for this system to date is -14 points, with the highest drawdown during the past twelve months being just -5 points.

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Caveats

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• Despite the system's low drawdown and high strike rate, the targeted odds range often results in modest profits on winning bets.

• The system experienced an extended period of volatility between 2023 and 2024, where it cycled through wins and losses for approximately 8 months before reaching a break-even point. This was followed by a further -10 point dip before entering its current phase of strong performance, which has yielded +104 points profit over the last twelve months.

• The betting timeline reveals a pattern of continuous wins and losses without significant long winning streaks. However, the frequency and magnitude of wins sufficiently outweigh the losses to generate a robust profit for low-odds backing over the long term.

• While it's essential to adjust your commission rate to reflect your specific Betfair charges, thorough testing confirms that this system maintains a positive ROI even at the highest 8% Betfair commission rate.

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BACK SYSTEM T2

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• Moderate odds backing (1.85-3.15, 120 MTP).

• Favourite backing, requires last race win.

• Gelding only, specific classifications/courses.

• Annual profit: +67.31 points (Current +45).

• Good overall profit: +292 points (52 months).

• Acceptable drawdown: -21 points.

• Caveat: Periods of extended drawdown and break-even.​​​​​​​​

 

This backing system operates within a slightly higher odds range compared to T1, focusing on odds between 1.85 and 3.15 precisely 120 minutes prior to the scheduled post time.

 

This system targets favourites at MTP, with a crucial filter requiring the horse to have won its most recent race.

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Additionally, the horse must be a Gelding and participate only in specific classifications at selected racecourses identified as consistently profitable.

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The performance data indicates a substantial profit of +292 points over the 52-month assessment period, while maintaining an acceptable maximum drawdown of -21 points after a 2% commission deduction.

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The profit over the past 12 months is +45 points, which is slightly below the average annual return of 67.31 points.

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Analysis of the performance graph suggests that the system is currently undergoing a temporary dip, similar to previous patterns, before an anticipated recovery phase.

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Caveats

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• Similar to the T1 system, Back System T2 will experience periods of prolonged drawdown and months of fluctuating wins and losses that ultimately lead to break-even points. These patterns are evident in the performance graph and can be examined in greater detail via Hedger Pro.

• Historical data indicates that the system has typically encountered maximum periods of approximately six to seven months of upward and downward movement before reaching a break-even point and subsequently resuming its upward trajectory.

• There have been other shorter periods exhibiting similar P&L behaviour, and these fluctuations must be considered when evaluating the system's long-term betting performance.

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EXP1

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• Seasonal back betting (Feb-Sep).

• Flat racing only, stall 3.

• Top 2 market (1 MTP), odds 2.64-4.7.

• Betting hours 14:00-17:00.

• Annual profit: +47.08 points (Current +24).

• Overall profit: +204 points.

• Max drawdown: -26 points.

• Caveat: Drawdown in each betting period, potential heavy losing spells.

 

This is a seasonal back betting system that focuses on a select group of racecourses, and you can see this from the line graph above.

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The system specifically targets horses starting from stall 3, which inherently represents a low draw.

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Given its low draw bias, this system exclusively operates on flat racing.

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This backing system again targets the top two in the betting market at 1 minute to post, within an odds range of 2.64 and 4.7.

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Betting activity is concentrated between the hours of 14:00 and 17:00.

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The current recorded points profit stands at +204, with a maximum drawdown of -26 points.

The profit generated in the past 12 months is +24 points, which is lower than the annual average of 47.08 points.

 

However, it's important to note that the system's betting window is between February and September, and we are currently only three months into this period. Historically, every betting cycle for this system has yielded a profit.

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Caveats

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• Each betting period has witnessed a drawdown approaching, and in some cases reaching, the maximum drawdown level.

• The 2022 betting period, in particular, commenced with an approximate two-month straight losing streak before a strong recovery leading up to the end of September.

• Users should anticipate experiencing more than one significant losing spell within each 8-month scheduled betting period for this system.

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FAVBACK SPECIFIC T3

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• Favourite backing (1 MTP).

• Specific trainer 4-week stats, excludes Saturdays.

• Runs 8 months (Jan standout), excludes NH Flat.

• Races 4-6 only.

• Decent strike rate: 47%, average odds 2.5.

• Annual profit: +48.23 points (Current +26).

• Overall profit: +209 points.

• Max drawdown: -24 points (Past year reached max).

• Caveat: Highest drawdown in past year, potential lulls in performance.

 

This is another favourite backing system, assessed at 1 minute to post (MTP), but incorporating new filters that target specific trainer statistics over the preceding 4 weeks. Uniquely, this system operates six days a week, specifically excluding the busy Saturday race card.

 

The system also runs during 8 selected months of the year, with January historically proving to be a particularly profitable month.

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Further filters exclude National Hunt Flat Racing, and betting is restricted to races numbered 4 to 6 on the race card.

 

This specific race selection has proven to be the most profitable approach for this betting strategy across the general racing schedule and also serves as an effective method for managing daily bet activity.

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A solid strike rate of 47%, combined with an average odds of 2.5 decimal, provides this system with a strong foundation for continued future success, particularly given its historical performance, which demonstrates consistent recovery from losing periods with minimal volatility.

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The total recorded profit over the betting period is +209 points, with a maximum drawdown of -24 points, indicating a good balance thus far.

 

The past 12 months have shown a profit of +26 points, falling below the expected annual average of 48.23 points. Notably, the total drawdown for this year has already reached the recorded maximum of -24 points.

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Interestingly, the highest drawdown occurred between July and August 2024, and since then, the system has shown a slow but steady overall increase in profit.

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These are crucial points to consider as we approach July. However, with 5 remaining betting months for the remainder of 2025, the overall performance for the year will become clearer in due course.

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Caveats

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• As previously mentioned, the past year's maximum drawdown was the highest recorded, and the current twelve-month point profit is only just above the total drawdown for that period.

• Like all the systems, this one has experienced periods of underperformance, with losses incurred over several months before a subsequent recovery that shifted the balance positively.

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LAY NO.2 T4

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• Lay betting (3.25-6.4 odds, 2 MTP).

• Targets 2nd favourite, strong favourite odds filter.

• Consistent annual profit: +17.07 points (Current +17).

• Overall profit: +74 points.

• Low drawdown: -12 points.

• High strike rate: 80%, average odds 4.8.

• Caveat: High bet activity, low yield, potential for higher liability.

 

This is a lay betting system operating within an odds range of 3.25 and 6.4 at 2 minutes to post (MTP).

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The system employs a concise set of four filters: MTP, ODDS, ODDS RANK (targeting the 2nd favourite at MTP), and FAV ODDS (requiring the strong favourite to be within odds of 1.71 to 2.04 at 2 MTP).

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This straightforward lay betting approach has yielded a return of +74 points to date, demonstrating consistent growth that aligns closely with the expected annual average of +17.07 points.

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The current performance over the past 12 months is precisely on target at +17 points profit, achieved while absorbing a maximum drawdown of -11 points.

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Over the entire 52-month betting period, the maximum drawdown reached -12 points, resulting in the recorded profit of +74 points. This represents a 16% overall profit, which falls within my acceptable range.

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Given the high strike rate of 80%, this system generates wins most of the time, with an average lay odds of 4.8, which appears to be an optimal range for long-term success at this strike rate.

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Caveats

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• The high frequency of bets with this system results in significant liability and a low yield, which may be unappealing to some users.

• Laying at odds potentially reaching a high of 6.4 could also be a concern for those betting with larger stakes per wager.

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LAY SYSTEM T1

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• Lay betting (3.55-7.2 odds, 15 MTP).

• Opposes 1st & 2nd favourites, specific race exclusion.

• Excludes 15-20 furlong races, LTO BSP range.

• Strong annual profit: +112.85 points (Current +90).

• Healthy overall profit.

• Acceptable drawdown: -45 points (Past year -34).

• Very high strike rate: 87%.

• Caveat: High bet volume, highest lay odds range (liability).

 

This is another very direct lay betting system utilizing a minimal number of filters.

The system is highly targeted, which was a fundamental aspect of its initial concept and setup.

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It focuses on opposing the first and second favourites within an odds range of 3.55 to 7.2 at 15 minutes to post (MTP).

 

Notably, I discovered that excluding bets on a specific race number each day had a substantial positive impact on overall performance, not just a random anomaly.

 

This single race exclusion was retained to mitigate drawdown levels, alongside excluding races between 15 and 20 furlongs.

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A specific last time out (LTO) Betfair Starting Price (BSP) range is also a required filter, completing the parameters of this system.

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As the performance graph illustrates, the profit and loss line generally remains above the line of best fit, demonstrating a healthy points profit and an acceptable level of drawdown relative to the returns gained over the 52-month betting period.

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The strike rate for this setup is also very strong at 87%, indicating a high frequency of winning bets with this high-volume system.

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The average annual expected return is 112.85 points, and the current 12-month profit of +90 points is slightly below this figure.

 

However, the betting trend over the past years' results shows no unusual patterns, suggesting this could simply be a snapshot at the current point of analysis.

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The current 12-month assessment shows a drawdown of -34 points, which is below the maximum recorded drawdown of -45 points, a positive indicator.

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Caveats

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• This system generates a significant volume of bets, and its odds range represents the highest for any of the lay betting systems within the Portfolio Bet collection. Please consider this, as the staking is based on a fixed profit target, meaning the liability per bet is contingent on the odds of the selection.

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PB 5DAYS BACK BET

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• High volume back betting (first 5 races, 5 days/week, 11 months).

• Value betting (average odds 6.8).

• Targets top 2-4 market (1 MTP), jockey/horse % rivals beaten filters.

• Annual profit: +167 points (Current +132).

• Overall strike rate: 18% (Consistent).

• Significant drawdown: -50s (Past year near -41).

• Caveat: Long losing periods, lower strike rate, high potential drawdown.

 

Considering that bets are placed only within the first 5 races of the day, this is a high-volume back betting system.

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As the name suggests, it operates 5 days each week and for 11 months of the year, with February being the excluded month.

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This is a value betting system that has demonstrated consistent form over the past 52 months.

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With an average odds of 6.8, winning every race is not expected; the overall strike rate is 18%, and the past twelve months show a consistent 17%.

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The system targets horses ranked 2nd to 4th in the betting market at 1 minute to post (MTP), with jockeys exhibiting a 12-week percentage rivals beaten rating of 39% or higher.

 

This pinpoints races where these jockeys are riding horses with a percentage rivals beaten rating of 38% or higher, focusing on opportunities with the potential to outperform their odds.

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Similar to some other systems that target multiple market-ranked horses, this system can place multiple bets within a single race, increasing the chances of identifying higher-priced winners with a good probability of success.

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The average annual predicted points profit is 167 points, and the current 12-month profit of +132 points is slightly below this.

 

However, as with other systems, this could be reflective of the specific timeframe of analysis.

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Caveats

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• Value betting, with its inherent lower strike rates and potentially longer losing periods, may not suit everyone and can be frustrating for some individuals over days and weeks.

• The statistics indicate a consistent level of wins over time, justifying the lower strike rate. However, a maximum drawdown recorded in the -50s, with the past twelve months nearly reaching this level at -41, may be a concern for some users.

• The average annual points profit over the past year is currently below the anticipated level.

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PB BACK V2

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• Simple backing system (60 MTP, top 2 market, low odds).

• High jockey quality (78%+), strong B2L ROI.

• Betting hours 13:00-17:00, races 2-6.

• Recent form (within past couple of months).

• Consistent profit: +105 points.

• Very low drawdown: -14 points (Past year -5).

• High strike rate: 56%.

• Caveat: Periods of balance drop and stagnation.

 

This is another straightforward backing system, placing bets 60 minutes prior to post (MTP) and focusing on low odds horses positioned within the top two of the betting market in each race.

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A key filter for this system is a very high jockey quality performance rating of 78% or higher.

 

Additionally, the horse's back-to-lay range percentage is required to meet a very high standard.

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Betting activity is limited to the hours between 13:00 and 17:00 and targets the first 2 to 6 races on the card. The system also considers the number of days since the horse's last run, ensuring it falls within the past couple of months.

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The result of these simple yet effective filters is a highly consistent performing betting system that has generated +105 points profit with a remarkably low maximum drawdown of just -14 points across the entire timeline.

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The past year's performance shows a profit of +34 points, which is above the annual average of 24 points. The maximum drawdown over the last 12 months has also remained low at just -5 points.

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Recent form is generally positive, and historically, this system, with its minimal filters and low odds range, operates at a solid strike rate of 56%.

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Given its focus on the top two in the market, there can be more than one qualifying bet within a single race.

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Caveats

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• Over an 8-month period, the balance experienced a drop, eventually breaking even before recovering. Subsequently, there was another 3-month dip before the system resumed its upward trajectory, leading to significant balance growth.

• Longer periods of no growth and sudden drops in form have been observed. While the drawdown levels have not been alarmingly high, patience is undoubtedly required to achieve the recorded levels of profit.

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PB FRI BACK V2

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• Friday only backing (4 MTP, favourite).

• Higher value odds (average 5.0).

• Jockey % rivals beaten filter (12 week).

• Annual profit: +45 points (Current +24).

• Overall profit: +195 points.

• Moderate drawdown: -31 points (Past year lower).

• Caveat: Currently below average profit, recent losing period.

 

As the name implies, this is a Friday-only backing system that targets the favourite in a race 4 minutes prior to post (MTP). However, it focuses on higher value odds, with the current average sitting at 5.0 decimal.

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The system incorporates a 36% 12-week jockey percentage rivals beaten filter and a 5-hour daily betting window to achieve the recorded 195 points profit over the analyzed timeframe, with a maximum drawdown of -31 points.

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The overall strike rate of 23% reflects the higher odds targeted but is sufficient to have consistently delivered the achieved level of profit.

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The current drawdown over the past year is also lower than the previously recorded highest levels.

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The profit growth over time has generally been consistent with the line of best fit.

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Caveats

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• The system is currently running below the average expected profit at the time of this report, which stands at 45 points, while the present profit is +24 points.

• Recent performance has been recovering from a losing period experienced during March and April.

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PB LAY EVERYDAY

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• Lay betting (3.6-5.7 odds, 1 MTP).

• Targets top 3-5 market.

• Considers LTO favourite stats/BSP, jockey quality.

• Good annual profit: +72.44 points (Current +95).

• Strong overall profit: +314 points.

• Acceptable drawdown: -32 points (Past year lower).

• High strike rate: 85%.

• Caveat: Break-even periods, low yield, higher liability.

 

This is a lay betting system operating within an odds range of 3.6 to 5.7, targeting horses ranked within the top 3 to 5 in the betting market 1 minute prior to post (MTP).

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Consideration is given to the last time out (LTO) favourite statistics and Betfair Starting Price (BSP) odds, along with factoring in the past 12-week jockey quality performance ratings.

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This is an active lay betting system that operates for the majority of the year and has shown a strong points profit return of +314 at the time of assessment, with an acceptable maximum drawdown of -32 points.

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Current performance over the past year shows a profit of +95 points, exceeding the annual expected average of 72.44 points, and the maximum drawdown during this period is lower than the highest previously recorded.

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As expected, given the market target range and odds, the system has a higher strike rate of 85%.

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Caveats

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• A period of approximately 10 months between 2023 and 2024 showed a pattern of wins and losses that resulted in breaking even, with a more positive trend of balance increase observed before and after this period.

• The yield may be considered too low for some users, and the odds range per bet could be too high for those uncomfortable with bets requiring more capital to cover the liability.

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PB LAY FRI

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• Friday only lay betting (4.1-5.3 odds, 30 MTP).

• Targets up to 3 horses, minor trainer stat exclusion.

• Good annual profit: +55 points (Current +101).

• Strong overall profit: +239 points.

• Moderate drawdown: -44 points (Past year lower).

• High strike rate: 81%, controlled liability.

• Caveat: Impacts portfolio drawdown, busy system, low yield, high liability.

 

This Friday-only lay betting system utilizes just five filters, betting within a range typically covering up to three horses per qualifying race.

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The odds range is quite narrow, between 4.1 and 5.3, assessed 30 minutes prior to post (MTP), with a minor trainer statistic exclusion based on average distance beaten.

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The payoff for these filters is a recorded profit of +239 points over the 52-month period, with a maximum drawdown of -44 points.

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A high strike rate of 81% and an average odds of 4.7 indicate frequent winning bets within a well-controlled liability range.

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The average expected annual return is 55 points, and the past year's profit stands at +101 points, significantly higher than the average, with recent performance benefiting from a winning streak and a much lower maximum drawdown over the current 12-month betting period.

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Caveats

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• The -44 point drawdown will impact the overall portfolio maximum drawdown figure, as would any higher drawdown level. The performance graph shows a couple of instances where the profit and loss line reached or came close to the maximum drawdown.

• The system is quite active and comes with a low yield and a high financial liability over time to achieve the shown returns.

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PB LAY THURS

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• Thursday lay betting (specific odds range, 1 MTP).

• Targets 3rd ranked horse.

• Consistent performance, low drawdown.

• Annual profit: +75 points (Current +64).

• High strike rate: 85%, average odds 5.2.

• Low drawdown (below max for past year).

• Caveat: Periods of no growth, higher lay bet liability.

 

This is a Thursday lay betting system with similar simplicity and filter selection to the Friday version above. It bets 1 minute prior to post (MTP) but targets the 3rd ranked horse within the specified odds range at MTP.

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The average odds for this system at the time of the report are 5.2, with a strike rate of 85%, which is expected for this level of betting.

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The average expected annual points profit is 75 points, and the current twelve-month profit of 64 points is slightly below this. However, overall performance is very consistent with historical data and shows a steady progression along the line of best fit.

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Drawdown is also very low for a system at this odds range, and the current 12-month range is below the maximum recorded drawdown.

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Overall, despite longer periods of minimal or incremental growth, the system has demonstrated a high level of consistent positive performance with a very appealing drawdown.

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Caveats

• There is a noticeable period of approximately 8 months of no profit growth along the P&L line from 2022 to 2023.

• The average odds for a lay bet may be higher than some individuals are prepared to risk in terms of liability.

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PB LAY TUES

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• Tuesday only lay betting (specific odds, 1 MTP).

• Targets 3rd ranked horse, considers surface/going.

• Annual profit: +34.85 points (Current +48).

• Acceptable drawdown: -30 points (Past year -10).

• High strike rate: 85%, average odds 5.2.

• Caveat: Long recovery period observed historically.

 

This Tuesday-only laying system focuses on the 3rd ranked horse in the betting market at 1 minute to post (MTP) and has an average odds of 5.2 with an 85% strike rate.

 

Considerations are made for the surface and going conditions. However, simplicity remains key to achieving the recorded 151 points profit over the 52-month betting period, with an acceptable maximum drawdown of -30 points.

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The current twelve-month profit of 48 points is above the annual average of 34.85 points, and the drawdown for this yearly betting period is low at just -10 points, below the previous maximum.

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Caveats

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• The primary caveat with this system, which could also be considered a strength, is that it demonstrated an approximately 17-month period from 2023 to 2025 to recover from an initial maximum drawdown of 30 points.

• Persistence will be required with all betting systems at some stage, and this system's history suggests this might be necessary due to its filters and operational characteristics.

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PB LAY V2

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• Highest lay odds range (around 7.0).

• Minimal filters (LTO BSP, runners, distance, race exclusion).

• Impressive overall profit: +540 points.

• Significant drawdown: -67 points (Past year -52).

• Very high strike rate: 87%, average odds 6.6.

• Caveat: Highest liability, high drawdown, low yield.

 

This laying system operates at the highest odds range covered within the lay bet Portfolio Bet systems, targeting odds around 7.0. The filter setup is minimal, with just 7 ranges selected, considering last time out (LTO) Betfair Starting Price (BSP), number of runners, and distance specifically.

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A race number exclusion has also been incorporated, which significantly impacts the overall profit growth trend.

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Overall, this consistent betting system has recorded an impressive +540 points profit over the 52-month betting period, with a drawdown of -67 points for this timeframe.

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The system targets the odds rank between 3rd and 6th, with an average odds of 6.6, resulting in a high expected strike rate of 87%.

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The current twelve-month profit of +85 points is below the annual average of 124 points, although the maximum drawdown for this period is lower at -52 points.

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Caveats

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• The consistent growth of this system, operating mostly above the line of best fit, is appealing. However, the higher odds involved lead to greater liability per bet, resulting in the highest drawdown recorded so far among the Portfolio Bet systems at -67 points.

• Given the high volume of bets for this system, the P&L line appears quite smooth with a steady upward trend. However, the maximum drawdown has been reached during this period and approached numerous times, so this level of exposure needs to be carefully considered when deciding whether to include this system in your portfolio.

• A very high investment liability and low yield also need to be taken into account.

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PB LTO LAY FAVS

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• Lay betting (LTO 2nd/3rd favourites).

• Jockey quality & horse % rivals beaten filters.

• Annual profit: +56 points (Current +44).

• Good overall profit: +243 points.

• Moderate drawdown: -49 points (Past year -28).

• Good strike rate: 60%, low average odds (2.5).

• Caveat: Slow start historically, high activity, low yield.

 

Outside the standard required MTP, odds, and odds rank filters, this lay betting system deploys just three additional filters. One of these is the LTO Fav (Last Time Out Favourite), which is set to consider the 2nd and 3rd favourites.

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A targeted jockey quality performance rating is also combined with the horse's percentage rivals beaten percentage.

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This combination has yielded a recorded profit of +243 points with a maximum drawdown of -49 points.

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The average annual predicted points profit at this level is 56 points, and the current twelve-month profit of +44 points is slightly below this. However, the current maximum drawdown of -28 points for the past year is significantly lower than the overall highest of -49 points.

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The average odds for this system are a comfortable 2.5, keeping exposure levels per bet low. While more than one bet per race can qualify, this is less frequent due to the lower odds range.

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The overall strike rate of 60% is very good for the targeted odds.

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Caveats

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• The first half of the 52-month betting period appears to have been quite slow in terms of profit growth, with the majority of the profit being generated over the past 24 months.

• While profit was achieved in the initial period, it was not at the same high level and did record the highest drawdown figure for that timeframe.

• This is a very active betting system with a high liability of investment and a low yield.

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PB MON BACK

 

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• Monday only backing (specific odds, 1 MTP, favourite).

• Considers LTO BSP, jockey quality, runners, surface, UK only.

• Runs 9 months.

• Annual profit: +48 points (Current +50).

• Low drawdown: -8 points.

• Moderate strike rate: 41%, average odds 3.5.

• Caveat: Long periods of win/loss with no growth.

 

Focusing on Mondays only and backing the favourite within a specific odds range at 1 minute to post (MTP), this system operates at a 41% strike rate. For the average odds reached of 3.5, it has returned a recorded profit of +208 points across the timeline with a very low maximum drawdown of just 8 points.

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Considerations are made for last time out (LTO) Betfair Starting Price (BSP) and the jockey's past 12-week quality performance ratings, as well as number of runners, surface, and UK-only racing, while betting is limited to 9 months of the year.

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The current twelve-month profit of +50 points is very close to the annual average predicted points of 48 points.

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Caveats

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• The main point to note is that there have been long periods of winning and losing that have resulted in the profit and loss line not increasing over time for up to approximately 12 months maximum. This is a factor that needs to be considered.

• This is likely a system that will experience periods of break-even performance over time, without significant drops, but with enough wins to gradually increase the balance over the long term with minimal risk. Patience is required.

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PB SAT BACK

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• Saturday back betting (tight odds, 1 MTP, 2nd favourite).

• LTO odds rank consideration, race exclusion.

• Annual profit: +38 points (Current +60).

• Low drawdown: -16 points.

• Moderate strike rate: 31%, average odds 3.8.

• Caveat: Periods of no growth or volatile betting.

 

This Saturday back betting system targets the 2nd favourite at 1 minute to post (MTP) within a very tight odds range but still generates a decent volume of bets. Considerations include the last time out odds rank, along with a race number exclusion.

The current twelve-month profit of +60 points is ahead of the annual average predicted profit of 38 points.

The system has recorded 138 points profit to date with a low maximum drawdown of just -16 points, placing it in the low-risk category. With a strike rate of 31% and average odds of 3.8, it is operating well within a profitable range.

Caveats

• Even though the maximum drawdown is low and this system has shown annual profits, there have definitely been longer periods of no growth or volatile betting patterns that could be frustrating for some users.

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PB SUN BACK V4

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• Sunday back betting (higher odds/rank, value focus).

• Considers LTO, runners, excludes 3 months.

• Good annual profit: +85 points (Current +129).

• Strong overall profit: +367 points.

• Moderate strike rate: 23% (Past year 27%), average odds 6.3.

• Caveat: Lower strike rate, potential longer losing periods.

 

As the name suggests, this is a Sunday back betting system and potentially the most complex in terms of filters. It targets value at higher odds and market ranks.

Considerations are made for last time out (LTO) performance and number of runners, with an exclusion applied for three months of the year.

The overall recorded profit at the time of the report is +367 points, consistent with the average odds of 6.3 and an overall strike rate of 23%, which is higher at 27% for the past twelve-month betting period.

Currently running above the annual predicted average return of 85 points, the system shows a profit of +129 points with a maximum drawdown for the period of just -14 points, lower than the previous highest of -23 points.

Caveats

• Value back betting, with its lower strike rates and longer losing periods required to achieve higher-priced wins that ultimately drive balance growth, may not be suitable for everyone.

• This needs to be factored in before including this system in your portfolio.​

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PB THUR BACK

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• Minimal Thursday backing (tight low odds, 1 MTP, favourite).

• Very high jockey quality filter, excludes 3 months.

• Annual profit: +27 points (Current +30).

• Very low drawdown: -4 points (Past year reached max).

• High strike rate: 57%, low average odds 2.7.

• Caveat: Lower annual profit, low bet volume.

 

This is a very minimal Thursday-only backing system that targets the favourite at 1 minute to post (MTP) within a very tight, low odds range.

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The jockey quality performance rating over the past 12 weeks is set to a very high standard, with a notable exclusion of three specific months of the year.

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The filters have returned +117 points profit over the analysed period with a -4 point drawdown. The past twelve months show a profit of +30 points, with the highest recorded drawdown reached during this period.

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The system is performing consistently with the average annual predicted points of 27 points, with the current profit at +30 points.

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The strike rate of 57%, alongside the average odds of 2.7, suggests a steady growth system that aligns quite predictably with the line of best fit.

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Caveats

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• This is a lower-profit annual system and not as dynamic as some of the others, with a relatively low annual average bet volume.

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PB TUES BACK

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• Tuesday only backing (various odds, 2 MTP, favourite).

• Considers LTO BSP/Rank, jockey quality, UK only, tight runners.

• Annual profit: +34.85 points (Current +48).

• Low drawdown: -9 points.

• Good strike rate: 47%, average odds 3.9.

• Caveat: Potential frustration with higher odds losses, lower activity.

 

Focusing on backing the favourite at 2 minutes to post (MTP) on Tuesdays only, this system considers selections ranging from lower odds to value odds up to 7.0.

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Considerations include last time out (LTO) Betfair Starting Price (BSP) and Odds Rank, with a higher-than-average jockey performance figure, while sticking to UK-only racing and a tight runner range.

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The filters have achieved a points profit over the period of +193 points with a maximum drawdown of -9 points, operating at a 47% strike rate with average odds of 3.9. This demonstrates a nice steady upward trend, even over the current betting period at the time of writing.

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Caveats

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• The potential for higher odds back bets could cause frustration on some betting days if they do not win, especially if other higher strike rate systems have performed well.

• It is also not a very active betting system, so there may be longer periods when no bets apply.

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PB WED BACK

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• Wednesday only backing (above evens, value, favourite).

• Minimal filters (UK only, high jockey quality).

• Annual profit: +53 points (Current +43).

• Low drawdown: -18 points.

• Moderate strike rate, average odds 3.6.

• Caveat: Max drawdown approached multiple times, win/loss no growth periods.

 

Another system focused on a single day, this places back bets solely on Wednesdays according to very minimal filters covering UK only and a high-quality performance rating for qualifying jockeys.

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The odds range is above evens but still includes value without going too high, with the average odds showing at 3.6 while still focusing on backing qualifying favourites.

 

The filters show a return of +220 points over the period and a maximum drawdown of -18 points.

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The past 12 months returned +43 points, which is below the annual predicted profit of 53 points.

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Caveats

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• The maximum drawdown over time appears to have been approached numerous times with this system, with some longer periods of win/loss with no growth to factor in. Therefore, patience would definitely be required for this system.

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RACE 2TO3 LAY LOW

 

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• Lay betting (UK only, 14:00-15:00, first 2-3 races).

• Low average lay odds: 3.3.

• Consistent profit since late 2021.

• Annual profit: +32 points (Current +27).

• Moderate drawdown: -25 points (Past year -10).

• High strike rate: 77%.

• Caveat: Lower activity, more volatility in first 24 months.

 

This lay betting system deploys just three filters outside the main required three, operating in the UK only, between 14:00 and 15:00, and within the first 2 to 3 races only.

 

The average lay odds come in at 3.3 with a strike rate of 77%, positioning it well for long-term growth based on historical performance.

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Showing a profit of +140 points over the entire betting period with a drawdown of -25 points, this has been a very consistently profitable system since a drop-off in late 2021.

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The past 12 months show a profit of +27 points, slightly below the expected annual average of 32 points, and the recent betting maximum drawdown is lower than previously recorded at just -10 points.

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RNR MINIMAL

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• Backing system focusing on the favourite.

• Considers number of runners, bets 3 days/week, high jockey performance.

• Average odds around 4.0 decimal.

• Very high overall profit: +511 points.

• Higher drawdown: -63 points.

• Annual profit close to average: +118 points (Current +120).

• Caveat: Higher drawdown, extended periods of no growth, lower strike rate (28%).

 

This system requires consideration of just three filters beyond the essential MTP, Price, and Odds Rank.

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The number of runners is a key filter, with a slight exclusion applied, but encompassing the majority of field sizes. The system operates three days a week, incorporating a filter for high-level jockey performance ratings.

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The strategy aims for successful back bets on the favourite within a low to value odds range, currently averaging at 4.0 decimal.

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A highly impressive +511 points profit has been recorded over the entire assessment period, with a maximum drawdown of -63 points.

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The past 12 months show a profit of +120 points with a -37 point drawdown, aligning closely with the expected annual profit of 118 points.

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Caveats

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• The significant drawdown of -63 points is a crucial factor to consider. While it has occurred once, the system has approached this level on several occasions throughout its timeline.

• Extended periods of stagnation, with wins and losses balancing out over as many as 9 consecutive months, have been observed. This potential for prolonged periods without balance growth may be a deterrent for some users and should be factored into your decision-making process.

• Despite a high overall profit rate and a discernible increase in balance over time, this is accompanied by longer losing streaks due to a strike rate of 28%.

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STALLS T1

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• Backing system for flat racing only (stall 2-4).

• Backs the favourite, considers BFFC, first two races only.

• Specific racecourse conditions for flat racing stalls.

• Good overall profit: +170 points.

• Low drawdown: -14 points (Past year -6).

• Annual profit exceeded: +39 expected (Current +47).

• Moderate strike rate: 46%.

• Caveat: Not daily betting, specific flat racing focus, long recovery periods possible.

 

As the name indicates, this system exclusively focuses on flat racing and horses drawn from stalls 2 to 4. The betting strategy is to back the favourite, achieving a total recorded strike rate of 46% over the analysed betting period.

The system also incorporates BFFC (Betfair Starting Price Forecast) and restricts bets to the first two races of a meeting, provided all other qualifying filters are met.

Consideration is also given to racing conditions, with a focus solely on racecourses that adhere to flat racing stalls rules.

The filters have yielded a return of +170 points over the observed timeline, with a maximum drawdown of -14 points.

Currently, over the past year, the system is outperforming its expected annual points return of 39 points, with a recorded profit of +47 points and a maximum drawdown of -6 points, which is lower than previously recorded levels.

Caveats

• Betting opportunities with this system will not arise daily due to its focus on flat racing and highly specific filters concerning draw bias and odds range.

• The system has experienced periods of underperformance lasting up to twelve months to recover to a previous peak balance.

If you haven’t already, join Hedger Pro today:

https://www.hedgerpro.co.uk/

To purchase and own these Portfolio Bet systems visit:

https://www.portfoliobet.co.uk/

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PORTFOLIO COMBINATION OPTIONS & EXAMPLES:

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This section explores the overall performance achieved by combining all the Portfolio Bet systems into a unified betting portfolio. It also presents alternative combination strategies tailored to meet specific user preferences and risk tolerances.

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I trust that the detailed individual system assessments provided earlier will empower you to strategically combine these systems to align perfectly with your unique betting objectives.

Portfolio Bet comprises 24 distinct betting systems, all seamlessly integrated and requiring the Hedger Pro platform for operation.

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Graphical Key:

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• Black Line: Performance of All Systems Combined

• Blue Line: Performance of Backing Systems Combined

• Red Line: Performance of Laying Systems Combined

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The performance data is presented in two lines for each category. The top line represents the combined results for the entire 52-month assessment period.

 

The bottom line displays the performance over a 12-month anti-back-fit period selected within the Hedger Pro Research interface, offering a more recent perspective on potential performance.

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24 SYSTEMS CONCURRENTLY OPTION:​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​

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